Mandatory Pick 6 Sequence Analysis for SA Closing Day By Ryan Gamino @ChildishGamino7

June 21st marks the end of the Spring racing season for Santa Anita and with that, brings the mandatory payout of all jackpot pools including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick 6. 

Race 7: We begin the Pick 6 with the 150k Melair Stakes, a dirt route at 1 1/16 Miles for 3yo Fillies that were bred in California. In this small field of 6, we’re just going to go with the two favorites in here, Big Sweep (1) and Smiling Shirlee (2). Big Sweep is coming off a big win against the boys in the Echo Eddie Stakes sprinting on the dirt while Shirlee is coming off a win from the filly version of that race, the Evening Jewel. Both seem to be a cut above the rest of the field in terms of experience against stakes company and speed figures so let the chalk talk and move on.

Race 8: The second race in the sequence is a bit wider than the first leg. This 40k maiden claiming will be contested at 1 Mile on the turf course with a packed field of 11 who seem pretty equal. The top choice will go to the 11, Sapori Girl, who will be piloted by Umberto Rispoli again after a fair effort in which she closed to be a close 3rd a few weeks back. She drops the tag from 62.5k to 40k which is nice to see and possesses the best last race Beyer from the field along with the favoritism as the ML favorite. She will be closing from the back of the pack. Another horse to consider is the 10, Danceformunny, who is coming off a February layoff in which she was squeezed at the start and lost all hope after that. She is dropping down for the tag for the first time and gets Flavien Prat on today so this is a must use for a trainer that has them ready to fire off the layoff. Besides those 2 horses, this field is still wide open so feel free to use the ALL button in this race if you deem it necessary.

Race 9: The 3rd leg of the sequence features a handful of maidens entered in for a tag of $50k going 6 ½ Furlongs on the dirt course. We’re going to go with just two horses here in the form of Cosmic Cowgirl (1) and Saving Sophie (6). Cowgirl is coming off a mile on the turf course against 75k MC company where she encountered some traffic trouble and ultimately weakened. She drops her tag down to 50k and goes back to sprinting on the main track and has tactical speed to be forwardly placed and can wire this field. Saving Sophie gets the class drop from special weight and cuts back from a mile to 6 ½ furlongs on the dirt so she is eligible to wake up due to the drop with Valdivia aboard.

Race 10: The G3 American stakes is a mile on the turf course for 3yos and upwards and is the 4th race in the sequence. We’re going to only go with only three horses here in this wide-open field in order to save a bit of money here but you want to add more then by all means. The three horses that looked the best were Sharp Samurai (5), Border Town (7) and Bowie’s Hero (8) just based on their past races and company they’ve been running against as of recent so use those on your pick 6s.

Race 11: The 5th race is a 50k maiden special weight race going 6 ½ furlongs on the dirt with a couple eye-catching Bafferts and a nice Pete Miller runner as well. Provocation (2) is a pricey filly by Into Mischief trained by Bob Baffert and will be debuting under the hands of Mike Smith who does well with Baffert. Himiko (5) looks to have been bred for the turf but didn’t care for the grass on debut so maybe the dirt will wake this million dollar American Pharaoh filly up since the works in the morning show talent on the main track and makes sense since she is a half to G1W Bodemeister. Scarlet Lips (7) doesn’t look like a horse that screams “winner” but her last race is a toss since it was her first race as a 3yo and she didn’t like the grass all that much. Miller 2nd off the layoff is solid and Flavien Prat takes the call today plus the works in the morning say that she’s ready to put her best foot forward this time around.

Race 12: The curtain call of the Spring meet is a 40k optional claiming affair going a mile on the turf course. This race seems to be pretty straightforward so we’ll just go with 4 horses here (3,4,11,12). Of Good Report (3) lost a heartbreaker when he struggled to find room only to get through too late and was nailed on the wire by Red King who is entered in a stakes race earlier on the card. Go Daddy Go (4) exists that same race while encountering traffic trouble of his own so he too is eligible to improve. Succeedandsurpass (12) looks to be the one to beat with solid races against stakes company under his belt but Prat leaves to go on Galloping Mischief (11), who is stretching out for the first time, leaving Umberto Rispoli to pick up the mount. This colt by Exceed and Excel looks to be tough to beat despite the jock abandonment. 

.20 P6 Ticket $57.60, 1,2/10,11/1,6/5,7,8/2,5,7/3,4,11,12

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