Saratoga One a Days – 8/13

Haven’t updated the sheet in a few days, but unfortunately there hasn’t been any changes. Caleb still leads with only a few weeks of the meet left.

Caleb @CalebWVU

Race 8 – #8 Whittington Park: This N1X allowance at Saratoga came up extremely tough, as it is full of stakes-caliber horses. Dreamlike is arguably the horse to beat, finally breaking his maiden last out. I do think he is the likeliest winner, but he has run a run the same race four times now, and I’m concerned he may not take the step forward needed today. I’m going in a different direction with Whittington Park. Some may dismiss him due to his New York bred races, but I think he’s subtly improved as a four-year-old. I thought he ran great two back when against the flow of the race, and he was far from disgraced last out in open company. He seems like one who really relishes the nine furlong distance, and it looks like he should get an honest pace to close into. He owns the fastest Thorograph figures in the field and just paired his career top, so I’m expecting an improved effort today.

Josh @CherryDrank

Race 4 – #2 Cigarette Boat: Sunday’s 4th race looks to be a wide open affair, and while I could see one of the shorter prices winning this race, I’m going to put #2 Cigarette Boat on top. Ran this trip at the beginning of the meet, showed good early speed, and finished 4th in a blanket finish. Speed was not great on the turf at the beginning of the meet, so on a fairer track I think this one is a great bet back at 5-1 ML. Optix has this as a Q1 square at the par line on the surface to distance plot, while the other speeds look to have less staying power than the #2. I see a strong possibility for a wire to wire win here for Mike Maker and Manny Franco.

Mark @Two_Turns

Race 7 – #5 Looms Boldly: We’re expecting about an inch of rain overnight which is going to destroy some value plays I loved in the early part of the sequence, so I’m pivoting here. This three-year-old son of Goldencents has put together a sneaky good campaign so far, never missing the board in seven starts and getting his photo take four times. He comes in here off a very impressive black type score at finger lakes, but also has wins at Aqueduct and a nice third in the Mike Lee at Belmont. His figures fit in this bunch, gets Manny who is the go-to for Cox in NYRA, and should be controlling pace in this race. The only question mark is if he can get the distance as he faltered late going this trip two back. I’m willing to take that risk given he will have a lot less pace pressure here and you’re getting paid for that risk.

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